Seminar on Myanmar
(F) Day of the week: Tuesday Class: IS306 Created Time: May 18, 2021 2:27 PM Database: Class Notes Database Date: May 18, 2021 2:27 PM Days Till Date: Passed Last Edited Time: June 9, 2021 3:35 AM Type: Study Group
- Election resulted in NDL led by Ang San Su Kyi winning in 2020 → coup in February
- Election fraud as excuse for coup
- Elected politicians are imprisoned
- Protests
- 800 civilians killed, 4,000 arrested
- China is believed to be backing the coup
- Blocked UN from condemning Myanmar
- But backed statements calling for reinstatement of Democracy
- Social Crisis
- Suppression of freedom of expression and press
- Military care more about suppressing protestors than COVID
- Insecurity
- Reemergence of Civil War:
- Fighting between military forces and forces of rebels
- Violent protests against the military
- Reemergence of Civil War:
- Rohingya crisis: discrimination against Muslim minority
- Economic crisis:
- Western countries imposed sanctions against coup leaders/elites
- Increased price of imports
- currency of myanmar dropped in value
- government imposed limit
- external trade barriers
- Banking crisis
- Social welfare and payments are down
- FDI may withdraw their business or move
- Humanitarian Issues: fighting creates
- Spread of COVID-19
- Refugees for neighboring countries
- More need for food and water supply
Problems with Solutions
- Smart Sanctions: aren’t as serious
- Freezing assets, banning travel in country isn’t very effective
- Only act as political show
- Rohingya situation: cannot just end instability, but also to help the people in need or is discriminated against
- What are the immediate solutions UN can propose to deal with it?
- Introduce package of solutions with different purposes
- Political
- Humanitarian
- Condemning statements are not effective
- Only way to convince military leaders is the show the outweighing benefits of returning democratic system over military
- ASEAN meeting only to save face
- To say ASEAN is trying to do something about it
- But doesn’t come to any effective solutions