Coercive diplomacy fails or succeed because the coercer state strategy and the domestic political economy of the target state §

• 32% success rate of coercive diplomacy
• Why coercive diplomacy is inherently difficult
  • Contextual-dependence of coercive diplomacy
• Effectiveness depends on 2 variables

Coercer state strategy §

• The relationship between the end and means to that end that determines which side of the cost-benefit shifts to
• To strike this balance for success coercive diplomacy must have these critieas
  • Proportionality: relationship between the coercer’s strategy between the scope and nature of the objective being pursued and the instrument used in the pursuit
  • Reciprocity: the linke between the coercer’s incentive and the target’s concessions
  • Coercive credibility: regarding the costs and benefits of cooperation, the target that con-cooperation has consequences.

The Domestic Political Economy of the Target State §

• Target state and its domestic political economy
• Target state’s succeptability to coercive diplomayc
  • The regime leadership
  • The role of elites
  • Other domestic political and societal actors